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You currently own a portfolio comprised of U.S. equities (90%) and gold (10%). The U.S. equity allocation is invested passively in the S&P 500 Index.
You currently own a portfolio comprised of U.S. equities (90%) and gold (10%). The U.S. equity allocation is invested passively in the S&P 500 Index. Your investment advisor recommends you sell all of the gold position and replace it with a similar sized positionin bitcoin. You gather the following data:
| S&P 500 | Gold | Bitcoin | ||
Historical Annual Return: | 12% | 7% | 50% | ||
Historical Annualized Volatility: | 20% | 15% | 80% |
Return Correlation of Gold to the S&P 500 Index: 15%
Return Correlation of Bitcoin to the S&P 500 Index: 30%
Risk Free Rate: 1%
- Assuming this historical data is the best predictor of future outcomes, is your advisor's recommendation sound? (12 points)
- Assuming all of the other assumptions remained unchanged, and ignoring any coefficient of risk aversion considerations, at what level of correlation between bitcoin and the S&P 500 would you be indifferent between choosing to retain your current portfolio and substituting it for the new portfolio? (12 points)
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