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You developed the following scenario analysis to forecast sales growth: Scenario Analysis Economic Scenario Probability of Occurrence Sales Growth Rate Rapid growth , 0 .

You developed the following scenario analysis to forecast sales growth:
Scenario
Analysis
Economic
Scenario
Probability of
Occurrence
Sales Growth Rate
Rapid growth ,0.30,18%
Average growth 0.40,12%
Slow growth 0.30,4%
Based on the data above, what is the average growth rate (i.e., expected value of the growth rates)?
10.3%
9.6%
11.4%
12.4%
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