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You download the last 3 years of daily return data on Apple and use the Fama-French 3-factor model + momentum to evaluate its risk and

You download the last 3 years of daily return data on Apple and use the Fama-French 3-factor model + momentum to evaluate its risk and recent performance. You regress the excess return of apple on the excess market return, the small-minus-big portfolio (SMB), the high-minus-low portfolio (HML), and the momentum portfolio (UMD). Your regression output is as follows:

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 95%

Upper 95%

Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%

Intercept

0.000349

0.000361

0.966679

0.333954

-0.00036

0.001058

-0.00036

0.001058

MKT - RF

1.199839

0.043783

27.4041

6.7E-122

1.113914

1.285763

1.113914

1.285763

smb

-0.20862

0.075146

-2.77615

0.00561

-0.35609

-0.06114

-0.35609

-0.06114

hml

-0.59654

0.071889

-8.29805

3.66E-16

-0.73762

-0.45545

-0.73762

-0.45545

umd

-0.00052

0.054404

-0.00959

0.99235

-0.10729

0.106245

-0.10729

0.106245

35. Suppose that on a specific day in the recent past, the returns of the MKT-RF, SMB, HML, and UMD portfolios were 0.5%, 0.4%, 0.5%, and 1%, respectively. Based on this regression output, what is the predicted excess return of apple on that same day?

2.4%

0.60%

0.218%

0.253%

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