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You have a hog finishing operation. In November, you decide to buy 4 contracts of May corn futures to lockin your input costs on 20,000

You have a hog finishing operation. In November, you decide to buy 4 contracts of May corn futures to lock‐in your input costs on 20,000 bushels of corn to be purchased in March, April and May.

I want you to complete the transaction, under three different scenarios; higher futures prices, lower futures prices and steady futures prices. 

Fill in the blanks in the T‐diagram, showing the price you received in $/bushel or in gross sales revenues (price * quantity). Ignore brokerage costs.

Scenario #1: higher futures prices

Date

Cash

Futures

Basis

November

Corn harvest is over and you are concerned about the possibility of corn costs rising next spring.

Buy 4 contracts of May corn futures to lock in a purchase price on corn to be fed in March, April and

May.

Futures price: $5.26

Expected corn basis a local buying basis of ‐$0.30/bu., or 30 cents under the May contract. futures price + expected basis = expected price $5.26 + (‐$0.30) = $4.96

March

Buy 20,000 bushels of corn from local sources for $6.03/bu.

Offset the hedge ‐ sell

May corn futures at

$6.39/bu.

What is the corn basis in

March?

$/bu. _____________

Results

What did you pay for corn in the cash market?

$/bu. _____________

$total _____________

What was your gain or loss in the futures market?

$/bu. _____________

$total _____________

What final price did you pay for corn?

$/bu. _____________

$total _____________

Scenario #2: lower futures prices

Date

Cash

Futures

Basis

November

Corn harvest is over and you are concerned about the possibility of corn costs rising next spring.

Buy 4 contracts of May corn futures to lock in a purchase price.

Futures price: $5.26

Expected corn basis a local buying basis of 30 cents under the May contract. expected price =

$5.26 + (‐$0.30) = $4.96

March

Buy 20,000 bushels of corn from local sources for $4.41/bu.

Offset the hedge ‐ sell

May corn futures at

$4.65/bu.

What is the corn basis in

March?

$/bu. _____________

Results

What did you pay for corn in the cash market?

$/bu. _____________

$total _____________

What was your gain or loss in the futures market?

$/bu. _____________

$total _____________

What final price did you pay for corn?

$/bu. _____________

$total _____________

Scenario #3: steady futures prices

Date

Cash

Futures

Basis

November

Corn harvest is over and you are concerned about the possibility of corn costs rising next spring.

Buy 4 contracts of May corn futures to lock in a purchase price.

Futures price: $5.26

Expected corn basis a local buying basis of 30 cents under the May contract. expected price =

$5.26 + (‐$0.30) = $4.96

March

Buy 20,000 bushels of corn from local sources for $4.99/bu.

Offset the hedge ‐ sell

May corn futures at

$5.26/bu.

What is the corn basis in

March?

$/bu. _____________

Results

What did you pay for corn in the cash market?

$/bu. _____________

$total _____________

What was your gain or loss in the futures market?

$/bu. _____________

$total _____________

What final price did you pay for corn?

$/bu. _____________

$total _____________

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