Question
You have been following a company in the news, RC Incorporated, which sells kombucha tea online. You are considering investing in the company; but before
You have been following a company in the news, RC Incorporated, which sells kombucha tea online. You are considering investing in the company; but before you risk any of your money, you decide to estimate the valuation of the stock to determine what would be a reasonable price to pay per share. To help in your valuation, you have assembled the following information for the most recent fiscal year (which ended today):
- RC Incorporated has no debt
- Revenue was $2M
- Gross margins were 35%
- Depreciation was $100,000
- Tax rate is 30%
- Total CAPEX was $150,000
- Net Working Capital Increased by $20,000
- The company has 300,000 shares outstanding
- Return on Equity was 12%
- Dividend payout is 50% of earnings
From your research, the appropriate discount rate for the cash-flows is 10%.
(a) RC has been growing rapidly, but competition is intensifying. As a first guess, you assume that the company will be able to hold onto its competitive advantage and grow its FCF by 15% for the next 5 years, after which the competition will catch up and FCF growth rate will drop to 3%, in perpetuity. Using a DCF valuation method, estimate the price of a share of RC under these assumptions.
(b) Provide another estimate of the growth rate of earnings using the information in the financial statements. Assuming that free-cashflows will grow at this constant rate forever, provide an estimate of the price of a share of RC under these new assumptions. 3
(c) Using the growth rate computed in part (b), provide a third estimate for the price of a share using a discounted dividend approach instead. (Note: there is no debt, so Earnings = EBIAT)
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