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You have estimated a logistic regression model for one - year default probability of a company, using several macroeconomic and company - specific variables. The

You have estimated a logistic regression model for one-year default probability of a company, using several macroeconomic and company-specific variables. The coefficients and most recent parameter values for the model are listed below:
Variable Coefficient Value
Intercept -3.3--
Unemployment 0.160.059
Leverage 1.40.75
NI/Assets -1.680.043
10yr Treasury yld 0.520.03
What is your model's estimated probability of default? Enter answer in percents.
Recall logistic regression model is
Ln p/(1-p)= f(x), f(x) is the linear function of all the input variables (unemployment, leverage...), p is the probability of default.
Plug in the numbers to get f(x) then solve for p.

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