Question
You have just been hired by IBM in their capital budgeting division. Your first assignment is to determine the free cash flows and NPV of
You have just been hired by IBM in their capital budgeting division. Your first assignment is to determine the free cash flows and NPV of a proposed new type of tablet.
The project has an expected life of 5 years
Development of the new system will initially require an initial capital expenditure equal to 10% of IBMs gross property, plant, and equipment in 2018 (balance sheet). The project will then require an additional capital expenditure investment equal to 10% of the initial investment in the first year of project, a 5% increase after the second year, and a 1% increase after the third, fourth, and fifth years.
First-year revenues for the new product are expected to be 3% of IBMs total revenue for 2018 (income statement). The new products revenues are expected to grow at 15% for the second year, 10% for the third, and 5% annually for the final two years of the expected life of the project.
Assume that initial capital expenditure incurred in year 0 will be depreciated using a straight line method over a five-year life.
Calculate average gross profit margin for 2015-2018 and use it to calculate projects costs.
Calculate IBMs average NWC/Sales for 2015-2018 and use it to calculate net working capital required in years 1 through 5 of the project.
Calculate average tax expense for 2015-2018 (tax expense/pretax income) and apply it to calculate free cash flows.
- Calculate free cash flows for years 0-5 of the project
- If IBMs beta is 1.56, risk free rate is 2%, and return of the market portfolio is 10%, calculate IBMs cost of capital using CAPM
- Calculate NPV of the project
- Should IBM take this project?
Balance sheet:
12/31/18 | 12/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 12/31/15 | |
Cash | ||||
Cash And Cash Equivalents | 11,379,000,000 | 11,972,000,000 | 7,826,000,000 | 7,686,000,000 |
Short Term Investments | 618,000,000 | 608,000,000 | 701,000,000 | 508,000,000 |
Net Receivables | 29,820,000,000 | 30,649,000,000 | 28,188,000,000 | 27,353,000,000 |
Inventory | 1,682,000,000 | 1,583,000,000 | 1,553,000,000 | 1,551,000,000 |
Other Current Assets | 1,000,000 | -1,000,000 | -1,000,000 | 0 |
Total Current Assets | 49,146,000,000 | 49,735,000,000 | 43,888,000,000 | 42,504,000,000 |
Gross property, plant and equipment | 32,461,000,000 | 32,331,000,000 | 30,134,000,000 | 29,341,000,000 |
Accumulated Depreciation | -21,668,000,000 | -21,215,000,000 | -19,303,000,000 | -18,616,000,000 |
Net property, plant and equipment | 10,793,000,000 | 11,116,000,000 | 10,831,000,000 | 10,725,000,000 |
Equity and other investments | 226,000,000 | 122,000,000 | 104,000,000 | 475,000,000 |
Goodwill | 36,265,000,000 | 36,788,000,000 | 36,199,000,000 | 32,021,000,000 |
Intangible Assets | 3,088,000,000 | 3,741,000,000 | 4,689,000,000 | 3,486,000,000 |
Other long-term assets | 296,000,000 | 572,000,000 | 729,000,000 | 571,000,000 |
Total non-current assets | 74,237,000,000 | 75,620,000,000 | 73,584,000,000 | 67,987,000,000 |
Total Assets | 123,382,000,000 | 125,356,000,000 | 117,470,000,000 | 110,495,000,000 |
Total Revenue | 10,207,000,000 | 6,986,000,000 | 7,513,000,000 | 6,461,000,000 |
Accounts Payable | 6,558,000,000 | 6,451,000,000 | 6,209,000,000 | 6,028,000,000 |
Taxes payable | ||||
Accrued liabilities | 3,941,000,000 | 4,510,000,000 | 4,705,000,000 | 4,353,000,000 |
Deferred revenues | 11,165,000,000 | 11,552,000,000 | 11,035,000,000 | 11,021,000,000 |
Other Current Liabilities | 7,251,000,000 | 1,000,000 | 1,000,000 | -1,000,000 |
Total Current Liabilities | 38,227,000,000 | 37,363,000,000 | 36,275,000,000 | 34,269,000,000 |
Long Term Debt | 35,605,000,000 | 39,837,000,000 | 34,655,000,000 | 33,428,000,000 |
Deferred taxes liabilities | 3,696,000,000 | 545,000,000 | 424,000,000 | 253,000,000 |
Deferred revenues | 3,445,000,000 | 3,746,000,000 | 3,600,000,000 | 3,771,000,000 |
Other long-term liabilities | 1,719,000,000 | 1,721,000,000 | 1,778,000,000 | 2,063,000,000 |
Total non-current liabilities | 68,226,000,000 | 70,268,000,000 | 62,803,000,000 | 61,802,000,000 |
Total Liabilities | 106,453,000,000 | 107,631,000,000 | 99,078,000,000 | 96,071,000,000 |
Common Stock | 55,151,000,000 | 54,566,000,000 | 53,935,000,000 | 53,262,000,000 |
Retained Earnings | 159,206,000,000 | 153,126,000,000 | 152,759,000,000 | 146,124,000,000 |
Accumulated other comprehensive income | -29,490,000,000 | -26,592,000,000 | -29,398,000,000 | -29,607,000,000 |
Total stockholders' equity | 16,796,000,000 | 17,594,000,000 | 18,246,000,000 | 14,262,000,000 |
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity | 123,382,000,000 | 125,356,000,000 | 117,470,000,000 | 110,495,000,000 |
Income Statements:
12/31/18 | 12/31/17 | 12/31/16 | 12/31/15 | |
Total Revenue | 79,590,000,000 | 79,139,000,000 | 79,920,000,000 | 81,742,000,000 |
Cost of Goods Sold | 42,655,000,000 | 42,913,000,000 | 41,625,000,000 | 41,057,000,000 |
Gross Profit | 36,935,000,000 | 36,226,000,000 | 38,295,000,000 | 40,685,000,000 |
Research Development | 5,379,000,000 | 5,787,000,000 | 5,751,000,000 | 5,247,000,000 |
Selling General and Administrative | 18,863,000,000 | 19,555,000,000 | 20,479,000,000 | 19,894,000,000 |
Operating Income or Loss/EBITDA/EBIT | 12,693,000,000 | 10,884,000,000 | 12,065,000,000 | 15,544,000,000 |
Interest Expense | 723,000,000 | 615,000,000 | 630,000,000 | 468,000,000 |
Total Other Income/Expenses Net | -1,482,000,000 | 17,000,000 | -339,000,000 | 421,000,000 |
Income Before Tax | 10,488,000,000 | 10,286,000,000 | 11,096,000,000 | 15,497,000,000 |
Income Tax Expense | 2,619,000,000 | 5,642,000,000 | 449,000,000 | 2,581,000,000 |
Net Income | 7,869,000,000 | 4,644,000,000 | 10,647,000,000 | 12,916,000,000 |
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