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You have the opportunity to purchase a facility that manufactures laptops. If you purchase this facility, you expect to sell 2 M laptops per year

You have the opportunity to purchase a facility that manufactures laptops. If you purchase this facility,
you expect to sell 2M laptops per year for the next 10 years. The profit per laptop is $250, and the annual
fixed cost of operating the facility is $150M. After 10 years, there is a 50% probability that you will sell
0.25M laptops per year in perpetuity starting at t=11, and a 50% probability that you will sell 2.5M laptops
per year in perpetuity starting at t=11. The profit per laptop and annual fixed cost of operating the facility
always remain the same. The purchase price of the facility is $1,800M. Assume a discount rate of 12.5%.
a) What is the NPV of the facility?
Assume that in exactly ten years (t=10), you learn whether you will sell 0.25M or 2.5M laptops per year in
perpetuity (from t=11 onward). You now have the option to abandon the facility at t=10 after learning
how many laptops you will sell going forward. Abandoning the facility means that you get a payoff of zero.
b) Calculate the present value at t=10 of future cash flows if you learn that you will sell 0.25M laptops
per year going forward, and explain why you would abandon the facility in this case.
c) Calculate the present value at t=10 of future cash flows if you learn that you will sell 2.5M laptops
per year going forward, and explain why you would not abandon the facility in this case.
d) From the perspective of t=0, calculate the NPV of the facility under the assumptions that you will
abandon the facility at t=10 if you learn at t=10 that you will sell 0.25M laptops per year from t=11
onward, and that you will choose at t=10 to continue operating the facility if you learn at t=10
that you will sell 2.5M laptops per year from t=11 onward.

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