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You invest equal sums (lets say $1000 and $1000) into blue chip shares and penny stock. And worry about the volatility of your portfolio. The

You invest equal sums (lets say $1000 and $1000) into blue chip shares and penny stock. And worry about the volatility of your portfolio. The table below lists the probabilities of getting certain values of returns:

Return on penny stocks, $

Probability

Return on blue chips, $

Probability

-10

0.3

-10

0.1

10

0.2

10

0.7

30

0.5

30

0.2

For penny stocks, the mean return is P=$4.67 and the variance is P2=$2130.37 . For blue chips, they are B=$4.00 and B2=$260.00 .

  1. Compose the joint probability table for obtaining the returns of $-10, 10, and 30 on blue chips and the same values on penny stocks. Treat the two variables as independent. For examples, refer to Table 5.8 .

Saratoga Dealership.

Geneva Dealership

0

1

2

3

4

5

Total

0

.0700

.1000

.0800

.0300

.0067

.000

.2867

1

.0700

.1200

.1100

.0600

.0067

.0033

.3700

2

.0300

.1400

.0300

.0400

.0100

.0067

.2567

3

.0100

.0300

.0200

.0100

.0167

.0000

.0867

Total

.18

.39

.24

.14

.04

.01

1.0000

Fig: Table 5.8

(b) Add up the values in the joint table to obtain the probabilities of your portfolio generating returns of $-20, 0, 20, 40, and $60.

(c) Find the mean and variance of your total portfolio return, P+B and P+B2 .

(d) Use the square of the sum formula (5.6 in book) for bivariate variance to find the covariance, PB .

(e) Now suppose you want to reduce the volatility of your portfolio, even if at the cost of the expected return. You want to only have a=0.67 in your penny stocks and as much as b=1.33 in your blue chips (that would make it $667 and $1333, given that you started with a $1000 and a $1000, but this is irrelevant for your calculation).

Use the linear combination formula to find the variance of your new portfolio, aP+bB2

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