Question
You invest equal sums (lets say $1000 and $1000) into blue chip shares and penny stock. And worry about the volatility of your portfolio. The
You invest equal sums (lets say $1000 and $1000) into blue chip shares and penny stock. And worry about the volatility of your portfolio. The table below lists the probabilities of getting certain values of returns:
Return on penny stocks, $ | Probability | Return on blue chips, $ | Probability | |
-10 | 0.3 | -10 | 0.1 | |
10 | 0.2 | 10 | 0.7 | |
30 | 0.5 | 30 | 0.2 |
For penny stocks, the mean return is P=$4.67 and the variance is P2=$2130.37 . For blue chips, they are B=$4.00 and B2=$260.00 .
- Compose the joint probability table for obtaining the returns of $-10, 10, and 30 on blue chips and the same values on penny stocks. Treat the two variables as independent. For examples, refer to Table 5.8 .
Saratoga Dealership.
Geneva Dealership | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Total |
0 | .0700 | .1000 | .0800 | .0300 | .0067 | .000 | .2867 |
1 | .0700 | .1200 | .1100 | .0600 | .0067 | .0033 | .3700 |
2 | .0300 | .1400 | .0300 | .0400 | .0100 | .0067 | .2567 |
3 | .0100 | .0300 | .0200 | .0100 | .0167 | .0000 | .0867 |
Total | .18 | .39 | .24 | .14 | .04 | .01 | 1.0000 |
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Fig: Table 5.8
(b) Add up the values in the joint table to obtain the probabilities of your portfolio generating returns of $-20, 0, 20, 40, and $60.
(c) Find the mean and variance of your total portfolio return, P+B and P+B2 .
(d) Use the square of the sum formula (5.6 in book) for bivariate variance to find the covariance, PB .
(e) Now suppose you want to reduce the volatility of your portfolio, even if at the cost of the expected return. You want to only have a=0.67 in your penny stocks and as much as b=1.33 in your blue chips (that would make it $667 and $1333, given that you started with a $1000 and a $1000, but this is irrelevant for your calculation).
Use the linear combination formula to find the variance of your new portfolio, aP+bB2
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