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You observe a portfolio for five years and determine that its average return is 12.1% and the standard deviation of its returns in 19.5%. Would
You observe a portfolio for five years and determine that its average return is 12.1% and the standard deviation of its returns in 19.5%. Would a 30% loss next year be outside the 95% confidence interval for this portfolio? The low end of the 95% prediction interval is \%. (Enter your response as a percent rounded to one decimal place.) A. No, you cannot be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is less than 30%. B. Yes, you can be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is greater than 30%. C. No, you cannot be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is greater than 30%. D. Yes, you can be confident that the portfolio will not lose more than 30% of its value next year. This is because the low end of the prediction interval is less than 30%
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