You own a company that employs three salespeople, Quentin, Michael and Bubba. Quentin makes 30% of the sales, Michael 45%, and Bubba 25%. While they are all competent, they do not enjoy completing the paperwork on their sales as required by the SEC. Of the sales Quentin makes, he completes paperwork 90% of the time. When Michael makes a sale, he completes the paperwork 80% of the time. When Bubba makes a sale, he completes paperwork 85% of the time. You were recently fined by the SEC for this reason, and have instituted tough new policies on this manner. However, you recently selected a file at random and found that the paper work was not in order. Who is the most likely culprit? Given the paperwork was not in order, the probability it was Bubba is 0.2381 . Therefore, Bubba is the most likely culprit. All three employees are equally as likely to have turned in the paperwork incomplete Given the paperwork was not in order, the probability it was Quentin is 0.1905 . Therefore, Quentin is the most likely culprit. Given the paperwork was not in order, the probability it was Michael is 0.5714 . Therefore, Michael is the most likely culprit