You run a study on the extent to which children tend to believe in ctitious characters under different social conditions. You nd a statistically signicant effect of social group on a selfreport measure of children's magical thinking, 9 = .02. This result means that: 0 if the null hypothesis were true. there would be a $896 chance of detecting an effect at least this big. 0 There is a 98% chance that the effect is real. 0 There is a 2% chance that the null hypothesis is true. O if the null hypothesis were true. there would be a 2% chance of detecting an effect at least this big