Question
Your company has a growth opportunity. Your options are: 1. Do not pursue the opportunity. 2. Invest 1 million now. If the project succeeds, it
Your company has a growth opportunity. Your options are:
1. Do not pursue the opportunity.
2. Invest 1 million now. If the project succeeds, it will return 1.2 million in free cash flow. If not, it will return 0.4 million in free cash flow. After finding out whether the project succeeds, you will have the option of investing another 1 million in the project, and that will double the free cash flow, so you receive a total of 2.4 million if the project succeeds and 0.8 million if it doesnt.
3. Invest 1.8 million now. If the project succeeds, it will return 2.4 million in free cash flow. If not, it will return 0.8 million in free cash flow. The probability of success is 0.5. The interest rate is 0.
Determine the value of the best strategy.
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