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Your firm is very sensitive to the stage of the economic cycle. Given the data below, what is the expected value of the firms earnings

  1. Your firm is very sensitive to the stage of the economic cycle. Given the data below, what is the expected value of the firms earnings next year?

Stage of the Economy

Probability

Earnings in Economic Stage

Booming Growth

.10

+ $50 million

Moderate Growth

.30

+ $30 million

Slow Growth

.50

+ $10 million

Recession

.10

  • $20 million

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