Question
Your friend Hagrid is thinking about opening a new restaurant, the Hungry Hagrid, and he asked you to complete a financial analysis of the project.
Your friend Hagrid is thinking about opening a new restaurant, the Hungry Hagrid, and he asked you to complete a financial analysis of the project. As you're putting your 5-year projections together, you estimate the following:
The cost of the project will be $2,500,000 immediately. Your accountant tells you that IRS rules mandate that this must be depreciated over a 7-year period, using the following accelerated annual depreciation schedule: 28%, 20%, 17%, 12%, 10%, 8%, and 5%.
Annual sales estimates from Hagrid are as follows:
Year 1: $850,000
Year 2: $875,000
Year 3: $925,000
Year 4: $1,000,000
Year 5: $2,000,000
COGS will be 25% of sales.
NWC investment of $150,000 immediately and will be 18% of sales in years 1 to 5 (assume NWC will be recovered at the end of the project).
Salvage value of $750,000 at the end.
Tax rate of 22%. The appropriate discount rate is 12.5%.
Using your assumptions, find the NPV of the restaurant venture. What is your recommendation to Hagrid?
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