Your project is to prepare a financial analysis. This takes a close look at two corporations, Bayer and Monsanto. Bayer is considering a bid for United States seed company Monsanto (Snider, 2016). For purposes of this project, you will act as the Chief Financial Officer of Monsanto Corporation, analyzing financial documents and determining whether Monsanto should indeed go forward with acceptance of the purchase.

Bayer is a life science firm with a more than 150-year history and core competencies in the areas of healthcare and agriculture. With its innovative products, it contributes to finding solutions major challenges, such as a growing and aging world population requiring improved medical care and an adequate supply of food. Bayer addresses these issues by preventing, alleviating and treating diseases, and helping to provide a reliable supply of high-quality food, feed and plant-based raw materials. Bayer Pharmaceutical is Bayers largest division in terms of total sales. This division focuses on researching, developing and marketing innovative medicines with a positive cost-benefit ratio primarily in the therapeutic areas of cardiology, oncology, gynecology, hematology and ophthalmology. To safeguard long-term growth, Bayer is currently seeking increase its investment in research and development. Besides expanding early research, Bayer is concentrating on the clinical development of active drug substance candidates in the therapeutic areas of cardiology, oncology, hematology and gynecology. In addition, it is selectively expanding and supplementing its development portfolio through licensing agreements and acquisitions. The Crop Science Division of Bayer, on the other hand, focuses on improvement in agricultural sustainability, crop yields and quality, as well as the leveraging of digitization to help make products safer (Bayer, 2016). Bayers aim is to help shape the future of the agricultural industry with innovative offerings that increase its productivity, thus generating profitable and sustainable growth for Crop Science and its customers and enabling the production of sufficient food, animal feed and renewable raw materials for a growing world population despite the limited amount of available arable land. This strategy is complementary to its Animal Science Division, which produces animal feed products. Bayer Crop Science Divisions current strategy is to enhance its Crop Protection and Environmental Science portfolio, expand its Seeds business, and to lead the way in innovation and develop holistic solution (Bayer AG, 2016). For purposes of this discussion, assume that Bayer aims to build on its expertise in the integration of seed technology with chemical and biological crop protection.

For purposes of this project, assume that Bayer is seeking to acquire Monsanto Corporation. Monsanto, along with its subsidiaries, is a leading global provider of agricultural products for farmers. Through its seeds, biotechnology-trait products, herbicides and precision agriculture tools, Monsanto (Monsanto, 2016) seeks to provide farmers with solutions that help improve productivity, reduce the costs of farming and produce better foods for consumers and better feed for animals. Monsanto has a worldwide distribution, sales and marketing organization for its agricultural-productivity products. In a growing number of locations throughout the world, it produces directly or contracts with third-party growers for corn seed, soybean, vegetable, cotton, canola and other seeds. The global market for its Seeds and Genomics segment is increasingly competitive. Both its row crops and its vegetable seed businesses compete with numerous multinational agrichemical and seed marketers globally, and with hundreds of smaller companies regionally.

Bayers proposal would pair Monsanto, the world's largest seed company, with drug-maker Bayer's growing seed and crop protection portfolio. Upon announcement of the possibility of such a bid, shares of St. Louis-based Monsanto (MON) rose by 8.7% (Kirchfield, et. al., 2016). Across 2015, immediately following announcement of a possible merger between the two firms, Bayer's growing agribusiness division saw sales rise 9% to $11.8 billion, while its healthcare sales rose 19% to $26 billion, as market participants reacted to news of the possible merger. Overall, Bayer's 2015 sales rose 12%, to $52.8 billion (Business Wire, 2014). On the other hand, Monsanto, which makes seeds (corn, cotton, fruits and other vegetables) and crop protection chemicals such as RoundUp, reported sales of $15 billion in its 2015 fiscal year. This was a 5% decline from the previous year (Daily Management Review, 2016). See Table 1, below, for an alternative view of these results.

Prompt:

In this project, you will assume that Bayer is considering a bid for United States seed company Monsanto (Snider, 2016). For purposes of this project, assume that you are Chief Financial Officer of Monsanto Corporation. Bayers proposal would pair Monsanto, the world's largest seed company, with drug maker Bayer's growing seed and crop protection portfolio. Upon announcement of the possibility of such a bid, shares of St. Louis-based Monsanto (MON) rose by 8.7% (Kirchfield, et. al., 2016). Across 2015, immediately following announcement of a possible merger between the two firms, Bayer's growing agribusiness division saw sales rise 9% to $11.8 billion, while its healthcare sales rose 19% to $26 billion. Overall, Bayer's 2015 sales rose 12%, to $52.8 billion (Business Wire, 2014). On the other hand, Monsanto, which makes seeds (corn, cotton, fruits and other vegetables) and crop protection chemicals such as RoundUp, reported sales of $15 billion in its 2015 fiscal year. This was a 5% decline from the previous year (Daily Management Review, 2016). Assume that Monsanto is taxed (T_C) at a rate of 35% and its cost of debt (R_D) is 12%. See Table 1, below, for an alternative view of this data. In the context of Bayers proposal, assume that Bayers Beta is 1.24. For purposes of valuation of cash flows in the context of Bayers proposal, consider Monsantos discounted cash flow for only the upcoming 1 year of sales, and assume that Monsanto is expected to grow at a rate of 3% in the current year. Assume also that Monsantos current sales are projected to be $15,239,000, while its equity holdings are estimated to be $9,141,333 and its debt is $12,359,333. Assume that Monsantos Profit Margins and Total Asset Turnover are unchanged from 2015 levels. EBIT, depreciation, capital spending, and the change in net working capital will grow at the same rate as sales, which is expected to grow at a rate of 3% across this year, while capital investment will remain stable

As an alternative proposal means of increasing shareholder value, as Chief Financial Officer of Monsanto, you have also been asked to evaluate a management proposal to expand Monsantos existing operations to pesticide production, yielding an increase in sales of $3,950,000. In the context of this alternative proposal, assume that there is no excess capacity, and the increase in fixed asset needs would be equal to 70% of this increase in sales, while cost of sales would run 20% of sales, using a percentage of sales approach. Also assume that Monsanto issues dividends at a rate of 1.98% of net sales, and thus the firms retention ratio is 98.2%. Assume that Monsantos current total level of sales is $15,239,000, while the division involved in this project is expected to yield sales of $2,950,000 in the current year. Assume that the proposed project has a risk and weighted average cost of capital similar to that of Monsanto, and a firm beta similar to that of Monsanto.

Upon receipt of Bayers proposal, your companys Board of Directors has directed you, as Chief Financial Officer of Monsanto Corporation, to review key statistics and other information and report to the Board on the following:

Requirement:

1. Taking account of background information and other information supplied here, determine whether to accept or reject this proposal for $62B. For purposes of this analysis, consider discounted adjusted cash flow for only the current year, in which the firm is anticipated to grow at a rate of 3%. Evaluate each of the following:

a)From given information

i) Ascertain Monsantos weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and use this along with the firms growth rate to determine the discounted value of adjusted cash flows. Employ the discounted value of adjusted cash flows to determine how this offer compares to the present value of the firms adjusted cash flow (CFA*), using the firms WACC.

ii) Explain the importance that this has for the firm, and for shareholders, noting that this is an issue which you have not covered in previous Milestones - and thus you will use this additional measure alongside measures prepared in Milestone One, as you complete Milestone Three. Use information from all assigned readings to support your analyses.

b) Justify your decision to accept or reject this offer using additional evidence drawn from ratio analysis, financial statement analysis, or time and trend analysis, refining your Milestone One analyses as applicable, given information covered in subsequent modules, and given current sales, equity and debt information included here.

2. With respect to the firms alternative proposal, determine:

a) The extent to which Monsanto will have to take on additional debt, given that it wishes to retain its current dividend ratio and does not wish to sell additional equities.

b) Calculate the firms sustainable growth rate and internal growth rate and use these measures to analyze a decision to accept this alternative proposal. Use these measures and concepts covered in assigned readings including EFN, DuPont Identity and leverage, Modules One through Eight, to explain the importance of these measures to shareholder interests.