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Your Question: Scenarios Probability of scenario occurrence Expected performance share A Expected performance share B Expected performance share C Recession 20% 4% 10% 3% Stabilization

Your Question:

Scenarios

Probability of scenario occurrence

Expected performance

share A

Expected performance

share B

Expected performance

share C

Recession

20%

4%

10%

3%

Stabilization

60%

6%

6%

6%

Development

20%

8%

2%

9%

) The same investor decides to invest, the following amounts, only in one of the following two portfolios:

Portfolio P: EUR 30,000 in share A and EUR 70,000 in share B Portfolio P: EUR 30,000 in share C and EUR 70,000 in share B

Calculate the expected return and risk (standard deviation) for each of the two portfolios. The co-fluctuation of the returns of shares A and B (Portfolio ) is -0.00032 and the corresponding of the returns of shares C and B (Portfolio P) is -0,00048.

Comment on the expected return and risk (standard deviation) of shares A, B and C. Also comment on the investment rates in each share (wi), the expected return and the overall risk of the portfoliosN P and P. Finally, comment on the co-fluctuations of Shares A and B and Shares B and C.

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