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Your startup is launching a new gadget which will be manufactured by a third - party company. As you are trying to estimate the profit
Your startup is launching a new gadget which will be manufactured by a thirdparty company.
As you are trying to estimate the profit from this marketing campaign, your team is considering following data points and uncertainties:
?
One time contract cost with the manufacturer ?$
?
Cost of the gadget per unit
Minimum cost ?$
Most likely cost ?$
Maximum cost ?$
?
Retail sale price ?$
?
Potential quantity sold
Minimum quantity
Most likely quantity
Maximum quantity
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Refund request due to gadget failure has a mean of ?for this campaign. Your profit will be the amount sold minus the manufacturing cost. Items refunded due to gadget failure are nonsalvageable and will impact your profit.
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Using Monte Carlo simulation, provide the following answers
a ?Provide the distribution of your profit using a histogram.
b ?What is the average profit?
c ?What is the minimum, most likely and maximum profit?
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