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Youre given with the following information for the stock portfolio (equally weighted). Suppose that there are four assets (or funds) in your portfolio. Youve applied

Youre given with the following information for the stock portfolio (equally weighted). Suppose that there are four assets (or funds) in your portfolio. Youve applied the 1-factor model for each asset (or fund) return in obtaining thes as

= , i = 1, 2, 3, 4,

where is the rate of return for asset (fund) i, represents the rate of return for market index portfolio, is the mutually independent idiosyncratic risk for asset (fund) i, i = 1,2,3,4. You are given with the following information for the estimates and statistics from the historical data, where represents the standard deviation of, represents the standard deviation of. Letbe the standard deviations of the factor such that and the mean of (say). The estimated betas and the standard deviations of these assets are shown in Table 1.

Table 1.1

Asset

Beta 1

Asset 1

0.56

0.53

?

Asset 2

1.19

0.92

?

Asset 3

0.89

0.80

?

Asset 4

0.70

0.68

?

Answer the following questions:

a) Obtain the standard deviations of idiosyncratic risk and variance-covariance matrix for these asset return

b) Suppose your portfolio has initial value as $15 million and your confidence level for the portfolios performance is 95%. Let the asset returns be normally distributed, what is the VaR (Value at Risk) for your portfolio? What is the meaning of VaR? Is the normality assumption appropriate for the assessment of VaR?

c) Suppose that you change your portfolio by alternating infinitesimally small change on asset 4, what is the marginal VaR for this asset now?

d) What are the pros and cons in using VaR to specify the portfolio's risk?

e) If you'd like to increase $500,000 on both asset 1 and asset 4 your portfolio, what is the incremental VaR for your portfolio?

f) Suppose there is no such an index option available, what is the synthetic portfolio that you may want to construct if youd like to make sure that the maximum loss of your portfolio will not exceed the VaR you calculated in d)?

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