A mayoral election in Madison, Wisconsin, has two candidates. Exactly half the residents currently prefer each candidate.

Question:

A mayoral election in Madison, Wisconsin, has two candidates. Exactly half the residents currently prefer each candidate.

(a) For a random sample of 400 voters, 230 voted for a particular candidate. Are you willing to predict the winner?

Why?

(b) For a random sample of 40 voters, 23 voted for a particular candidate.Would you be willing to predict the winner?

Why? (The sample proportion is the same in

(a) and

(b), but the sample sizes differ.)

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