66. Economic Forecasts One method of arriving at economic forecasts is to use a consensus approach. A
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66. Economic Forecasts One method of arriving at economic forecasts is to use a consensus approach. A forecast is obtained from each of a large number of analysts, and the average of these individual forecasts is the consensus forecast. Suppose the individual 2017 January prime interest rate forecasts of economic analysts are approximately normally distributed with a mean equal to 4.25% and a standard deviation equal to 0.1%.6 If a single analyst is randomly selected from among this group, what is the probability that the analyst’s forecast of the prime rate will take on these values?
a. Exceed 4.00%
b. Be less than 4.30%
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Related Book For
Introduction To Probability And Statistics
ISBN: 9780357114469
15th Edition
Authors: William Mendenhall Iii , Robert Beaver , Barbara Beaver
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