Consider the first-order autoregressive process Y0 = 0 = 0, Yj = Yj1 +j , j =

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Consider the first-order autoregressive process Y0 = ϵ0 = 0, Yj = βYj−1 +ϵj

, j

= 1,…, n, where ∣β∣ < 1 and ϵj are independent N(0,1) random variables. Show that the log likelihood function has first derivative U = ∂l/∂β = T1 − βT2 where T1 =

∑YjYj−1 and T2 = ∑Y 2

j−1 with summation from 1 to n. By expressing U as a quadratic form in ϵ, show that the first three cumulants of U are E(U) = 0,

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