A man is mugged and claims that the mugger had red hair. In police investigations of such

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A man is mugged and claims that the mugger had red hair. In police investigations of such cases, the victim was able correctly to identify the assailant’s hair colour 80% of the time. Assuming that 10% of the population have red hair, what is the probability that the assailant in this case did, in fact, have red hair? Guess the answer first, then find the right answer using Bayes’ theorem. What are the implications of your results for juries’ interpretation of evidence in court, particularly in relation to racial minorities?

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