Risk of a natural gas pipeline accident. Process Safety Progress (December 2004) published a risk analysis for

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Risk of a natural gas pipeline accident. Process Safety Progress (December 2004) published a risk analysis for a natural gas pipeline between Bolivia and Brazil. The most likely scenario for an accident would be natural gas leakage from a hole in the pipeline. The probability that the leak ignites immediately (causing a jet fire) is .01. If the leak does not immediately ignite, it may result in a delayed ignition of a gas cloud. Given no immediate ignition, the probability of delayed ignition (causing a flash fire) is .01. If there is no delayed ignition, the gas cloud will harmlessly disperse. Suppose a leak occurs in the natural gas pipeline. Find the probability that either a jet fire or a flash fire will occur. Illustrate with a tree diagram.

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Statistics For Business And Economics

ISBN: 9781292413396

14th Global Edition

Authors: James McClave, P. Benson, Terry Sincich

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