5.30 A. Goranson and J. Hall (Aeronautical Journal, November 1980, pp. 279280) explain that the probability of

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5.30 A. Goranson and J. Hall (Aeronautical Journal, November 1980, pp. 279–280) explain that the probability of detecting a crack in an airplane wing is the product of p1, the probability of inspecting a plane with a wing crack; p2, the probability of inspecting the detail in which the crack is located; and p3, the probability of detecting the damage.

a What assumptions justify the multiplication of these probabilities?

b Suppose p1  0.9, p2  0.8, and p3  0.5 for a certain fleet of planes. If three planes are inspected from this fleet, find the probability that a wing crack will be detected in at least one of them.

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Probability And Statistics For Engineers

ISBN: 9781133006909

5th Edition

Authors: Richard L Scheaffer, Madhuri Mulekar, James T McClave, Cecie Starr

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