The expected value of the stock investment is 5% . ($41) + 10% . ($42) + 20%

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The expected value of the stock investment is 5% . ($41) + 10% . ($42) + 20% . ($45) + 30% . ($48) +

20% . ($58) + 10% . ($70) + 5% . ($75) = $52. Therefore, purchasing the stock at $50 is not a fair bet, but it is a good bet.

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