In example (2.a) let x be the conditional probability that the winner of the nth trial wins
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In example (2.a) let x be the conditional probability that the winner of the nth trial wins the entire game given that the game does not terminate at the nth trial; let yn and z be the corresponding probabilities of victory for the losing and the pausing player, respectively, of the nth trial.
(a) Show that (*) x = + + Yn - +1 2n = 'n+1' = = x, yny, z = z
(b) Show by a direct simple argument that in reality xn are independent of n.
(c) Conclude that the probability that player a wins the game is (in agreement with problem 5 in I, 8).
(d) Show that x = , Yn = 4, n = is the only bounded solution of (*).
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Related Book For
An Introduction To Probability Theory And Its Applications Volume 1
ISBN: 9780471257110
3rd Edition
Authors: William Feller
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