4. The arrival behaviour of a bank employee reveals that ifhe is late on a day, he...

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4. The arrival behaviour of a bank employee reveals that ifhe is late on a day, he is 90 per cent sure to be in-time the next day. Similarly, ifhe is on time on a day, there is a 30 per cent chance that he will be late the next day. How often, in the long run, is he expected to be late for the office?

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