Question: Table 2-9 gives data on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for all items (1982-1984 = 100) and the Standard & Poor's (S&P) index of 500
Table 2-9 gives data on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for all items (1982-1984 = 100) and the Standard & Poor's (S&P) index of 500 common stock prices (base of index: 1941-1943 = 10).
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) AND S&P
500 INDEX (S&P), UNITED STATES, 1978-1989
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a. Plot the data on a scatter gram with the S&P index on the vertical axis and CPI on the horizontal axis.
b. What can you say about the relationship between the two indexes? What does economic theory have to say about this relationship?
c. Consider the following regression model:
(S&P)t = B1 + B2CPIt + ut
Use the method of least squares to estimate this equation from the preceding data and interpret your results.
d. Do the results obtained in part (c) make economic sense?
e. Do you know why the S&P index dropped in 1988?
Year CPI S&P 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 65.2 72.6 82.4 90.9 96.5 99.6 103.9 107.6 109.6 113.6 118.3 124.0 96.02 103.01 118.78 128.05 119.71 160.41 160.46 186.84 236.34 286.83 265.79 322.84
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