The following numbers are extracted from the financial statements for a firm for 2011 and 2012. Amounts are in millions of dollars.

At the end of 2011, the firm's 80 million shares traded at $25 each, but by the end of 2012 they traded at $15. Commentators blamed the drop on an increase in the risk of bankruptcy. Conduct a credit scoring analysis that indicates how much the likelihood of bankruptcy increased over the year.

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2011 2012 Sales Earnings before interest and taxes Current assets Current liabilities Total assets Book value of shareholders' equity Retained earnings 4,238 154 1,387 1,292 3,245 1,765 865 3,276 (423) 976 1,390 3,098 1,388 488