The mileage death rate for motorcycle riders has been estimated to be about 39 deaths per 100

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The mileage death rate for motorcycle riders has been estimated to be about 39 deaths per 100 million miles of motorcycle travel. A national motorcycling association has 1200 members who travel a total of 2 million miles each year on their motorcycles. What is the probability that the next highway fatality experienced by the association will not occur until more than a year from now? Until more than 2 years from now?
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