A research analyst follows the biotechnology industry and examines the daily stock price of Amgen, Inc. over
Question:
A research analyst follows the biotechnology industry and examines the daily stock price of Amgen, Inc. over the past year. The table below shows a portion of the daily stock price of Amgen for the 252 trading days in 2010. The research analyst wants to test the random-walk hypothesis that suggests that stock prices move randomly over time with no discernible pattern.
Date..................... Adjusted Stock Price
1/4/2010....................................$57.72
1/5/2010.......................................57.22
⋮....................................................⋮
12/31/2010.....................................54.9
a. Use the method of runs above and below the median to test the null hypothesis of randomness against the alternative that there is a trend at the 5% significance level.
b. Can the research analyst conclude that the movement of Amgen's stock price is consistent with the random-walk hypothesis?
Step by Step Answer:
Business Statistics Communicating With Numbers
ISBN: 9780078020551
2nd Edition
Authors: Sanjiv Jaggia, Alison Kelly