Exercise 10.6 Consider the regime-switching model of Example 10.2.2. (a) What is distribution of the regimes for
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Exercise 10.6 Consider the regime-switching model of Example 10.2.2.
(a) What is distribution of the regimes for the next trading day, i.e., January 18th, 2011?
(b) Generate 100000 observations from the 1-day forecast density and compute a 95% confidence interval.
(c) On January 18th, 2011, the closing price of Apple was $340.65. Does it belong to the 5% confidence interval?
(d) Based on (c), compute the new distribution for the regimes.
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Related Book For
Statistical Methods For Financial Engineering
ISBN: 9781032477497
1st Edition
Authors: Bruno Remillard
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