70. Forensic scientists are often interested in making a measurement of some sort on a body (alive...
Question:
70. Forensic scientists are often interested in making a measurement of some sort on a body (alive or dead) and then using that as a basis for inferring something about the age of the body. Consider the accompanying data on age (yr) and %
D-aspertic acid (hereafter %DAA) from a particular tooth
(“An Improved Method for Age at Death Determination from the Measurements of D-Aspertic Acid in Dental Collagen,”
Archaeometry, 1990: 61–70.)
Suppose a tooth from another individual has 2.01%DAA.
Might it be the case that the individual is younger than 22?
This question was relevant to whether or not the individual could receive a life sentence for murder.
A seemingly sensible strategy is to regress age on %DAA and then compute a PI for age when %DAA 2.01.
However, it is more natural here to regard age as the independent variable x and %DAA as the dependent variable y, so the regression model is %DAA 0 1x . After estimating the regression coefficients, we can substitute y* 2.01 into the estimated equation and then solve for a prediction of age xˆ. This “inverse” use of the regression line is called “calibration.” A PI for age with prediction level approximately 100(1 )% is xˆ t(2,n2 SE where SE
1 Calculate this PI for y* 2.01 and then address the question posed earlier.
Step by Step Answer:
Probability And Statistics For Engineering And The Sciences
ISBN: 9781111802325
7th Edition
Authors: Dave Ellis, Jay L Devore