An experiment was conducted to investigate whether a graphologist (handwriting analyst) could distinguish a normal person’s handwriting from the handwriting of a psychotic. A well-known expert was given 10 files, each containing handwriting samples from a normal person and from a person diagnosed as psychotic. The graphologist was then asked to identify the psychotic’s handwriting. The graphologist made correct identifications in 6 of the 10 trials (data taken from Statistics in the Real World, by R. J. Lar sen and D. F. Stroup

[New York: Macmillan, 1976]). Does this evidence indicate that the graphologist has an ability to distinguish the handwriting of psychotics? (Hint: What is the probability of correctly guessing 6 or more times out of 10? Your answer should depend on whether this probability is relatively small or relatively large.)