Develop a single exponential smoothing model using a 0.20. Use as a starting value the average
Question:
Develop a single exponential smoothing model using a 0.20. Use as a starting value the average of the first 6 years’ data. Determine the forecasted value for year 2010.
a. Compute the MAD for this model.
b. Plot the forecast values against the actual data.
c. Use the same starting value but try different smoothing constants (say, 0.05, 0.10, 0.25, and 0.30) in an effort to reduce the MAD value.
d. Is it possible to answer part d of Problem 16.51 using this forecasting technique? Explain your answer.
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Related Book For
Business Statistics A Decision Making Approach
ISBN: 9780136121015
8th Edition
Authors: David F. Groebner, Patrick W. Shannon, Phillip C. Fry, Kent D. Smith
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