5.5 An analyst has available two forecasts, F1 and F2, of earnings per share of a corporation...

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5.5 An analyst has available two forecasts, F1 and F2, of earnings per share of a corporation next year. He intends to form a compromise forecast as a weighted average of the two individual forecasts. In forming the compromise forecast, weight X will be given to the first forecast and weight 11 - X2, to the second, so that the compromise forecast is XF1 + 11 - X2F2.

The analyst wants to choose a value between 0 and 1 for the weight X, but he is quite uncertain of what will be the best choice. Suppose that what eventually emerges as the best possible choice of the weight X can be viewed as a random variable uniformly distributed between 0 and 1, having the probability density function

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a. Graph the probability density function.

b. Find and graph the cumulative distribution function.

c. Find the probability that the best choice of the weight X is less than 0.25.

d. Find the probability that the best choice of the weight X is more than 0.75.

e. Find the probability that the best choice of the weight X is between 0.2 and 0.8.

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Related Book For  book-img-for-question

Statistics For Business And Economics

ISBN: 9780273767060

8th Global Edition

Authors: Paul Newbold, Mr William Carlson, Ms Betty Thorne

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