Earthquake recurrence in Iran. The Journal of Earthquake Engineering (Vol. 17, 2013) modeled the time x (in
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Earthquake recurrence in Iran. The Journal of Earthquake Engineering (Vol. 17, 2013) modeled the time x (in years)
between major earthquakes occurring in the Iranian Plateau. One of the models considered had the following LO8 density function:
f1x2 = .04e-.04x, x 7 0
a. Find E(x). Interpret the result.
b. Find the variance of x.
c. Use the empirical rule to estimate P1m - 2s 6 x 6 m + 2s2.
d. Find the actual probability, P1m - 2s 6 x 6 m + 2s2.
How does the answer compare to the result in part c?
e. The earthquake system reliability at time t, R(t), is defined as R1t2 = 1 - F1t2. Find R(5) and interpret this probability.
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