Assume the Black-Scholes framework. You are given: (i) The stock pays dividends continuously at a rate proportional
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Assume the Black-Scholes framework. You are given:
(i) The stock pays dividends continuously at a rate proportional to its price. The dividend yield is identical to the continuously compounded (total) expected rate of return on the stock.
(ii) The expected 6-month stock price is 150.
(iii) The expected 6-month stock price, given that an at-the-money (when issued) 6-month European put option expires in-the-money, is 125.21.
Determine the 95% lognormal prediction interval for the 1-year stock price.
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