If n is very large and p is very small but np is a reasonable size (np

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If n is very large and p is very small but np is a ‘reasonable size’ (np = λ, say) then the distribution of Sn may be approximated by the Poisson distribution with parameter λ, as follows. For fixed k ≥ 0, write p = λ/n and suppose that n is large to find that P(Sn = k) =



n k



pk(1 − p)n−k

nk k!



λ

n

k 

1 −

λ

n

n 

1 −

λ

n



−k

1 k!

λke−λ. (2.20)

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Probability An Introduction

ISBN: 9780198709978

2nd Edition

Authors: Geoffrey Grimmett, Dominic Welsh

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