A chocolate kiss is to be tossed into the air and will be landing on a smooth

Question:

A chocolate kiss is to be tossed into the air and will be landing on a smooth hard surface.

(Similar to tossing a coin or rolling dice.)

a. What proportion of the time do you believe the kiss will land “point up” (as opposed to

“point down” )?

b. Let’s estimate the probability that a chocolate kiss lands “point up” when it lands on a smooth hard surface after being tossed. Using a chocolate kiss, with the wrapper still on, perform the die experiment discussed on pages 213–214. Toss the kiss 10 times, record the number of “point up” (or put 10 kisses in a cup, shake and dump them onto a hard smooth surface, and use each toss for a block of 10), and record the results. Repeat until you have 200 tosses. Chart and graph the data as individual sets of 10 and as cumulative relative frequencies.

c. What is your best estimate for the true P( )? Explain.

d. If unwrapped kisses were to be tossed, what do you think the probability of “point up” would be? Will it be the different? Explain.

e. Unwrap the chocolate kisses used in part b and repeat the experiment.

f. Are the results in part e what you anticipated?

Explain.

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