Suppose that you can use a simple model of exposure and response but that you can specify

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Suppose that you can use a simple model of exposure and response but that you can specify a more complicated model based on the physics of your problem. The more complicated model includes more relevant variables than the simpler model. However, data to obtain estimates of the parameters of the more complex model are not available, nor will they be available in time to respond to an inquiry that a local group of concerned citizens has formed. You obtain some estimates of the parameters of your model using the simpler model. Do you think that the simpler model might be less accurate than the full model? Your manager asks that you go ahead and present your estimates in the public meeting because the estimates show no statistically significant results. Should you do it? If so, what caveats would you include in your work? Use about 600 words.

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