Let us consider an array of continuously compounded spot interest rates for time periods of one year:
Question:
Let us consider an array of continuously compounded spot interest rates for time periods of one year:
Say that no increase is expected and
If the risk premium is
Then, the term structure is an average of forward rates,
which in this specific case yields
Thus, we observe an increasing term structure, even though there is no expected increase in the spot rates.
It may even happen that an increasing term structure results from decreasing expected spot rates, if the liquidity premium is increasing. For instance, let us consider
and
Then, in this case, we find
and
The resulting term structure is increasing, even though rates are expected to drop.
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Related Book For
An Introduction To Financial Markets A Quantitative Approach
ISBN: 9781118014776
1st Edition
Authors: Paolo Brandimarte
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