150 Petridishespreparedwithstreptomycinwereeachsubjectedto one millionE-colibacteria.Ifabacteriummutatestobecomeresistant,itwillgrowa colonyofsurvivingbacteria.Otherwisethestreptomycinwillkillthebacteria.After growth,thefollowingnumberofsurvivingcolonieswasobserved: a) ArguewhyitwouldbereasonabletoexpectthatthenumberofcoloniesinaPetri dish wouldbePoissondistributed; b) EstimatetheparameterundertheassumptionofaPoissondistributednumberof colonies. c) InvestigatewhethertheobservationsconformwiththePoissonmodel. Note thatasthePoissondistributionhasinfinitesupport,alittlemodificationis...
Question:
150 Petridishespreparedwithstreptomycinwereeachsubjectedto one millionE-colibacteria.Ifabacteriummutatestobecomeresistant,itwillgrowa colonyofsurvivingbacteria.Otherwisethestreptomycinwillkillthebacteria.After growth,thefollowingnumberofsurvivingcolonieswasobserved:
a) ArguewhyitwouldbereasonabletoexpectthatthenumberofcoloniesinaPetri dish wouldbePoissondistributed;
b) EstimatetheparameterundertheassumptionofaPoissondistributednumberof colonies.
c) InvestigatewhethertheobservationsconformwiththePoissonmodel.
Note thatasthePoissondistributionhasinfinitesupport,alittlemodificationis needed totransformthedataintoamultinomialdistributiontoanswerquestionc).
This may,forexamplebedonebymergingthecategories 3, 4, ... into acategory ≥ 3 with acountof4,orevenmergingto ≥ 2 with acountof12.Thisnowbecomes a curvedmultinomialfamily,andtheanalysismayproceedalongthesamelinesas in Example8.2.
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