Danny’s Lawn Equipment sells high-quality lawn mowers and offers a 3-year warranty on all new lawn mowers sold. In 2015, Danny sold $300,000 of new specialty mowers for golf greens for which Danny’s service department does not have the equipment to do the service. Danny has entered into an agreement with Mower Mavens to perform all warranty service on the special mowers sold in 2015. Danny wishes to measure the fair value of the agreement to determine the warranty liability for sales made in 2015. The controller for Danny’s Lawn Equipment estimates the following expected warranty cash outflows associated with the mowers sold in 2015.

Instructions Using expected cash flow and present value techniques, determine the fair value of the machinery at the end of 2015. Use a 6% discount rate. Assume all cash flows occur at the end of the year.

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Year 2016 Cash Flow Estimate Probability Assessment $2,500 20% 4,000 60% 5,000 20% 2017 $3,000 30% 5,000 50% 6,000 20% 2018 $4,000 30% 6,000 40% 7,000 30%