Consider the following gamblers ruin problem. A gambler bets $1 on each play of a game. Each

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Consider the following gambler’s ruin problem. A gambler bets $1 on each play of a game. Each time, he has a probability p of winning and probability q 1  p of losing the dollar bet. He will continue to play until he goes broke or nets a fortune of T dollars. Let Xn denote the number of dollars possessed by the gambler after the nth play of the game. Then

{Xn} is a Markov chain. The gambler starts with X0 dollars, where X0 is a positive integer less than T.

(a) Construct the (one-step) transition matrix of the Markov chain.

(b) Find the classes of the Markov chain.

(c) Let T 3 and p 0.3. Using the notation of Sec. 16.7, find f10, f1T, f20, f2T.

(d) Let T 3 and p 0.7. Find f10, f1T, f20, f2T.

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Introduction To Operations Research

ISBN: 9780072321692

7th Edition

Authors: Frederick S. Hillier, Gerald J. Lieberman

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