At a certain stage of a criminal investigation, the inspector in charge is 60 percent convinced of

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At a certain stage of a criminal investigation, the inspector in charge is 60 percent convinced of the guilt of a certain suspect. Suppose now that a new piece of evidence that shows that the criminal has a certain characteristic (such as left-handedness, baldness, brown hair, etc.) is uncovered. If 20 percent of the population possesses this characteristic, how certain of the guilt of the suspect should the inspector now be if it turns out that the suspect is among this group?

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