If we let E denote the event that the next president is a Republican and F the

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If we let E denote the event that the next president is a Republican and F the event that there will be a major earthquake within the next year, then most people would probably be willing to assume that E and F are independent. However, there would probably be some controversy over whether it is reasonable to assume that E is independent of G, where G is the event that there will be a recession within the next two years. ■

We now show that if E is independent of F then E is also independent of F c .

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