2. Exhibit 2 compares the predicted civilian unemployment rate (PRED) with the actual civilian unemployment rate (UER)
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2. Exhibit 2 compares the predicted civilian unemployment rate (PRED) with the actual civilian unemployment rate (UER) from January 2013 to August 2019. The predicted results come from estimating the linear time trend model UERt ¼ b0 þ b1t þ εt.
What can we conclude about the appropriateness of this model?
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