Because a states governor can substantially influence new laws, uncertainty about the outcome of a gubernatorial election
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Because a state’s governor can substantially influence new laws, uncertainty about the outcome of a gubernatorial election may affect whether firms make new investments. Shelton and Falk (2016) estimate that in a state with average partisan polarization, doubling the electoral uncertainty causes a 2.7% drop in manufacturing firms’ investments. Explain a possible reason for this result. Does your explanation require that the firms’ managers are risk averse?
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